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Mar 31, 20223 min read
The (Unsustainable) Gap Between Actions & Promises
Oh boy, what a quarter it has been in markets. The round trip on the S&P500 (the global risk proxy) has been -14% from the early January...

Feb 24, 20223 min read
Has the Game Changed?
Abstracting from the short term price action, a key big picture question for investors is whether the game has changed? Put another way,...

Jan 20, 20222 min read
The Correlated Shock
A question we often ask is; “what is your quarrel with price?” In our humble opinion markets are not efficient in a macro (or micro)...

Dec 16, 20213 min read
The End of Super-Abundant Liquidity
The prevailing bias among market participants over the past few months has been that an early start to rate hikes would imply a need for...

Nov 17, 20213 min read
The Smiling Assassin (the Dollar Smile)
One of the complexities of the foreign exchange market is that the US dollar – as the global reserve currency – can rally in phases of...

Oct 18, 20213 min read
China's "Real" GDP
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang once revealed (on Wiki Leaks) that China’s GDP was “man-made” and to track growth he preferred to observe...

Oct 4, 20213 min read
Now for the Payback?
For more than a year, global risk assets have rallied thanks to an almost perfect combination of positive tailwinds. The emergence of...

Sep 20, 20213 min read
Contagion
Price has become impulsive today in Hong Kong and in other assets levered to activity in Chinese real estate such as the Australian...

Aug 27, 20213 min read
The A-Team & Mr. T (taper)
“I love it when a plan comes together” If Bloomberg reports are correct, it appears as though Jay Powell is likely to be re-appointed as...

Jul 29, 20213 min read
Delta Skelta to the Gamma Hammer
In automotive terms, if the delta of the option is its speed, then gamma is the acceleration. Overnight, Bank of America made an...
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