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Sep 28, 20223 min read
A Boot From the Fruit
Negative guidance from the Fruit on demand for the new iPhone 14 pro has reinforced the already bearish prevailing bias in equities. From...

Sep 9, 20222 min read
Actual Versus Perceived Risk & Beliefs
As the northern hemisphere summer rally unfolded, we warned that it was probably a counter trend (bear market) one and maintained a...

Aug 12, 20223 min read
One Direction
Markets, whether in a bull market or a bear market, never move in one direction. As Dr. Burry noted on the bird app this week, in the...

Jul 4, 20222 min read
I am not Uncertain
A cliché we often hear is that markets hate uncertainty. That tends to wind us up because markets are always uncertain as human beings...

Jun 23, 20223 min read
The Panic Zone
It is clearly an understatement to say that the broad selling in equities became extreme last week. From our perch, that sets the stage...

Jun 22, 20222 min read
The Titanic Yen
The rally in the US dollar and depreciation of the Japanese Yen has become episodic. Clearly it has not gone unnoticed and is now the...

May 31, 20222 min read
Taming the Hurricane
It is an obvious point, but volatility is a derivative of price itself. From our perch, there has been a notable moderation in bond and...

Apr 29, 20223 min read
The Crash in Trash
The crash in trash (profitless technology companies) has been brutal year to date and from the peak in February last year (-40% year to...

Apr 13, 20223 min read
The Slope of Hope
The recent market obsession – inflation – wasn’t quite as bad as feared, with the core reading falling well short of the consensus...

Mar 31, 20223 min read
The (Unsustainable) Gap Between Actions & Promises
Oh boy, what a quarter it has been in markets. The round trip on the S&P500 (the global risk proxy) has been -14% from the early January...
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